This report compiles growth-rate data on the U.S. home services industry from seven sources: a 2026–2031 market forecast from Mordor Intelligence, three consecutive quarterly outlooks from Harvard's Joint Center for Housing Studies, housing-stock research from the National Association of Home Builders, a global on-demand services forecast from Grand View Research, and Solvo Index's own research on the Boston Metro pest control market. The underlying figures were published between October 2025 and July 2026 and were checked directly against each source on September 21, 2026. None of the tables below restate the industry's total size. Each one tracks a rate instead: how fast spending or revenue is expanding, which segments are outrunning the average, and how that rate has shifted from one forecast release to the next.
Mordor Intelligence puts the U.S. home services market at $842.04 billion in 2026, growing to $989.22 billion by 2031, a 3.27% compound annual growth rate. The table below applies that rate to every year in between.
| Year | Market Size (USD Billions) | YoY Growth Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $842.04B | Base year |
| 2027 | $869.57B | 3.27% |
| 2028 | $898.01B | 3.27% |
| 2029 | $927.37B | 3.27% |
| 2030 | $957.70B | 3.27% |
| 2031 | $989.22B | 3.27% |
2026 and 2031 are Mordor Intelligence's reported figures. 2027 through 2030 are calculated by Solvo Index by compounding the source's reported 3.27% CAGR forward from the 2026 base; Mordor Intelligence does not publish separate dollar figures for those interim years, so treat them as derived, not independently reported. Source: Mordor Intelligence, "United States Home Service Market" report.
Not every part of the market is expanding at the overall 3.27% pace. Mordor Intelligence's segment-level forecasts show more than a full percentage point of spread between the fastest- and slowest-growing categories.
| Segment or Channel | Forecast CAGR (2026–2031) |
|---|---|
| Installation & smart-home integration | 4.34% |
| Rental-property customer segment | 4.13% |
| West region (fastest-growing U.S. region) | 3.92% |
| Online marketplaces & apps | 3.56% |
| Overall U.S. market (all segments) | 3.27% |
Figures as reported by Mordor Intelligence. The rental-property figure is measured against the owner-occupied segment, which held 76.35% of 2025 market share. Mordor Intelligence ties part of this growth gap to a projected shortfall of 439,000 home-services workers, which it estimates costs the industry about $10.8 billion a year in lost output, pushing operators toward the automated scheduling and smart-home work counted above. Source: Mordor Intelligence, "United States Home Service Market" report.
Solvo Index tracks several of these same categories, plumbing, HVAC, cleaning, landscaping, and pest control, across its own home services research, and the segment split above lines up with what shows up at the provider level: companies that have added smart-home or subscription features tend to pull ahead of ones still running on phone-and-paper scheduling.
Harvard's Joint Center for Housing Studies revises its short-term remodeling forecast every quarter. Lined up in order, the last three releases show the growth rate cooling each time.
| LIRA Release | Forecast Window | YoY Growth Rate | Projected Annual Spending |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | Early 2026 → Q3 2026 | 2.4% → 1.9% | $524B (early 2026, a reported record) |
| Jan 26, 2026 (rev. Apr 15, 2026) | Mid-2026 → end of 2026 | 2.1% → 1.6% | $518B (by end of 2026) |
| Jul 23, 2026 (current) | Through Q2 2027 | Not stated → 0.5% | $519B (through mid-2027) |
Each LIRA release from the Remodeling Futures Program forecasts the current quarter plus the following four, with no interpolation applied here. The July 2026 release, the most current available at the time of this report, states only the end-of-window growth rate. Source: Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies, LIRA press releases, October 2025–July 2026.
Part of what has kept remodeling spending elevated even as the growth rate cools is the age of the housing stock behind it. The median owner-occupied home in the U.S. reached 42 years old in 2024, up from 31 years in 2005, according to the National Association of Home Builders. Older homes need more structural and system work, which is why Harvard's researchers list an aging housing stock, alongside accumulated home equity and homeowners choosing to renovate rather than move, among the forces keeping the segment resilient even as its growth rate slows.
Two independently produced forecasts point the same direction: the share of home services booked and delivered through digital channels is growing faster than the industry as a whole.
| Indicator | Figure | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Global online on-demand home services market, by 2030 | $14.7B (16.7% CAGR, 2022–2030) | Grand View Research |
| Mobile-platform segment of that market | 17.1% CAGR, 2022–2030 | Grand View Research |
| Online marketplaces & apps share of the U.S. market | 3.56% CAGR through 2031, vs. 3.27% overall | Mordor Intelligence |
| Offline/traditional booking channel, U.S. market | 65.13% of market size in 2025 | Mordor Intelligence |
The two sources scope their markets differently, a global on-demand platform category versus the full U.S. home services market, and the figures are not additive. Each is reported exactly as published by the named source. Sources: Grand View Research (via PR Newswire); Mordor Intelligence, "United States Home Service Market" report.
In Solvo Index's own research on the Boston Metro pest control market, just 1 of 78 tracked providers, GreenHow, has connected a real operating system that could support this kind of on-demand booking and subscription tracking under the Solvo Index data standard: 4,561 active customers, a 90.1% recurring-plan rate, and 5.3-year average customer tenure, as reported by Solvo Index and not independently verified by a third party. That's one regional market in one service category, not a national figure, but it shows how far the operational software behind digital booking still has to spread before it catches up with how fast the consumer-facing apps above are growing.
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